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  1. #1
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    RBR TdF 2018 Predictions! Post by Start Time 2018

    RBR TdF 2018 Predictions! Post by Start Time 2018

    Hello, everyone. Since we are all so smart about road racing, let's show it off: post your predictions before start time for the 2018 Tour de France. Talk is cheap. Can you call it a month before the final stage? A year?

    At the end of the 2018 TdF, I will review how well we did. Historically, we have been pretty lousy, with some moments of brilliance.

    Bon chance!

    Call first, or try first, second, or third-
    Yellow/Podium/GC:
    Green/points:
    Polka-Dot/climber:
    White/youth:
    Red/combatif:
    Team:

    Lantern Rouge:
    DNF:
    Brown/Douche:
    Honorable Mention:

  2. #2
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    Ok, I will start:

    LA!

  3. #3
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    [QUOTE=PJay;5169841[/QUOTE]

    Thanks PJay! Never too soon, hahaha!

    Lets get started before we even see start lists and course details!

    Call first, or try first, second, or third-
    Yellow/Podium/GC: Froome
    2nd- Dumoulin
    3rd- Landa
    Green/points: Sagan
    Polka-Dot/climber: Barguil
    White/youth: Calimajean
    Red/combatif: Pick any French rider.
    Team: Sunweb

    Lantern Rouge: Luke Rowe, quietly going for a record.
    DNF: Kittle
    Brown/Douche: Bouhani
    Honorable Mention: Yates (see what I did there?)
    To date, philosophers have merely interpreted the world in various ways. The point however is to change it.

  4. #4
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    Froome double this year?

    Froome double this year? Giro and Le Tour?
    Or, will his asthma keep him down?

  5. #5
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    Louis Meintjes is going to shock the world!!

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    Nairo Yellow.

  7. #7
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    Waiting on the startlist.

    Thinking Froome gets his double this year.
    Then a ruling comes down from the CAS and we get to see how consistent/inconsistent the UCI is.
    1980's - Centurion
    1990's - Peugeot
    2000's - Specialized
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    ''This story was so perfect for so long. It's this myth, this perfect story, and it wasn't true.'' - Lance Armstrong

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  8. #8
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    Also waiting on start list.

    However for a different prediction: Landa and Quintana end up in a war with each other and Valverde finishes higher in GC than both of them.

  9. #9
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    Chris Froome , TDF , World race champ . Triple crown .

  10. #10
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    Dan Martin
    PO is a liberal echo chamber.

  11. #11
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    I plan on making a run at our TdF Velogames competition, so I won’t give up all my “secrets” here (which would only likely result in you finishing mid table anyway ).

    I will go out on a limb and say Froome doesn’t end up racing the TdF. The people that run Le Tour are some of the most influential people in the sport in my opinion and I say they push the right buttons to get a decision before the start. I also think he further damaged people’s opinion about whether he is racing clean by coming back to win the Giro the way he did. I bet alarms are going off for the TdF planners.

    Hinault: Chris Froome should not have started the Giro, he should be suspended | Cyclingnews.com

    http://www.cyclingnews.com/features/...e-unbelievable

    Other than that, I expect good rides from Bardet, Landa, Quintana, Roglic, Gaviria, Sagan, etc.
    Every climb has its end, for verily with difficulty there is relief...

  12. #12
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    Right on queue, ASO may block Froome from the TdF.

    https://cyclingtips.com/2018/05/repo...participation/
    Every climb has its end, for verily with difficulty there is relief...

  13. #13
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    My podium is Aru, Bouhanni and Boonen (not necessarily in that order).

  14. #14
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    No way can Froome do the double unless he's inhaling like crazy.

    Gaviria in Green.

    I'll have to think about the rest of the jerseys and placings.

  15. #15
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    Metaphorically pacing back-and-forth waiting for the finalized Start List...
    1980's - Centurion
    1990's - Peugeot
    2000's - Specialized
    2010's - Bianchi

    ''This story was so perfect for so long. It's this myth, this perfect story, and it wasn't true.'' - Lance Armstrong

    "Treks trying to look like Bianchis, that's sooooo cute!" Participant at a Century Ride

  16. #16
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    Quote Originally Posted by KoroninK View Post
    Also waiting on start list.

    However for a different prediction: Landa and Quintana end up in a war with each other and Valverde finishes higher in GC than both of them.
    You are, if nothing else, consistent as hell!
    Long live King Valverde
    "That pretty much sums it up. I'm 43 and my max is ~178-180. If that HR chart was mine or Froome's, we'd be on the verge of death. But for you it probably looks like a normal workout." -TLG

    LOLOLOL

  17. #17
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    Quote Originally Posted by redlizard View Post
    My podium is Aru, Bouhanni and Boonen (not necessarily in that order).
    This would be like the tour of the redeemers, all three need a hail mary to pacify their handlers.
    "That pretty much sums it up. I'm 43 and my max is ~178-180. If that HR chart was mine or Froome's, we'd be on the verge of death. But for you it probably looks like a normal workout." -TLG

    LOLOLOL

  18. #18
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    Quote Originally Posted by Rashadabd View Post
    I plan on making a run at our TdF Velogames competition, so I won’t give up all my “secrets” here (which would only likely result in you finishing mid table anyway ).

    I will go out on a limb and say Froome doesn’t end up racing the TdF. The people that run Le Tour are some of the most influential people in the sport in my opinion and I say they push the right buttons to get a decision before the start. I also think he further damaged people’s opinion about whether he is racing clean by coming back to win the Giro the way he did. I bet alarms are going off for the TdF planners.

    Hinault: Chris Froome should not have started the Giro, he should be suspended | Cyclingnews.com

    Philippa York: Chris Froome and trying to understand the unbelievable | Cyclingnews.com

    Other than that, I expect good rides from Bardet, Landa, Quintana, Roglic, Gaviria, Sagan, etc.
    I feel like with Froome deeply disappointing even his critics, it may be time to root for the most boring rider in the pro peloton... Quintana.
    "That pretty much sums it up. I'm 43 and my max is ~178-180. If that HR chart was mine or Froome's, we'd be on the verge of death. But for you it probably looks like a normal workout." -TLG

    LOLOLOL

  19. #19
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    1980's - Centurion
    1990's - Peugeot
    2000's - Specialized
    2010's - Bianchi

    ''This story was so perfect for so long. It's this myth, this perfect story, and it wasn't true.'' - Lance Armstrong

    "Treks trying to look like Bianchis, that's sooooo cute!" Participant at a Century Ride

  20. #20
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    TdF 2018 begins Saturday, July 07, at 11:10 local time / CET. That time zone is 6 hours ahead of Eastern Time.
    So, 11:10 am CET would be 5:10 am Eastern, 6:10 Central, 7:10 Mountain, 8:10 Pacific.

    So, get predictions in before 5:10 Eastern Time!

  21. #21
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    Quote Originally Posted by spdntrxi View Post
    Dan Martin
    Wouldn't that be nice.
    While we are free to choose our actions, we are not free to choose the consequences of our actions. - Stephen R. Covey.

  22. #22
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    Sagan wins a stage at most but still comes away Green.

  23. #23
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    Time for picks:

    Call first, or try first, second, or third-
    Yellow/Podium/GC: Nibali
    2) Bardet
    3) Fuglsang
    Green/points: Garviria
    Polka-Dot/climber: Majka
    White/youth: Jungels
    Red/combatif: Latour
    Team: Movistar

    Lantern Rouge: Rowe
    DNF: Kittle
    Brown/Douche: Bouhani (is there really another option)
    Honorable Mention: Valverde and I Izagirre (they both came back from career threatening injuries and are back at the Tour where those injuries occurred).

  24. #24
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    Well, I was so wrong about the Froome getting banned thing....

    With that being said, he has to be the favorite (as painful as that is to say). No team in the World Tour has the kind of depth they do (and the expertise at using it well). Thomas, Kwiatkowski, and Bernal could all be protected GC riders on other teams. He could easily win again, which is tragic on some levels.

    Movistar has good depth as well, but it seems to be more of a source of conflict than it is a strength for them at the moment. If they can get on the same page, and support one guy 100%, they could be dangerous as well.

    I still think a couple of these experienced GC guys that have had prior grand tour success will give Sky a run for their money. I think Dumoulin, Nibali, Uran, and Quintana are the strongest contenders here IMO.

    As for younguns and less provens, I like Bardet, Alaphillipe, Roglic, Jungles, Yates, Dan Martin, and Zakarin.

    When it comes to sprinters, I am all in on Sagan and Gaviria, but I like Colbrelli, Mathews, Groenwegen, Demare, as well for this course.

    My dark horse surprise pic is Martinez for EF Drapac. I think he is on the verge of a breakout this year or next.

    Guys likely to disappoint are Mollema, Cavendish, Greipel, Kittel, TVG, GVA, and Porte. I could be wrong and for some of them, I hope I am, but it's not looking good as of right now.
    Last edited by Rashadabd; 07-01-2018 at 02:53 AM.
    Every climb has its end, for verily with difficulty there is relief...

  25. #25
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    Quote Originally Posted by Rashadabd View Post
    Well, I was so wrong about the Froome getting banned thing....

    With that being said, he has to be the favorite (as painful as that is to say). No team in the World Tour has the kind of depth they do (and the expertise at using it well). Thomas, Kwiatkowski, and Bernal could all be protected GC riders on other teams. He could easily win again, which is tragic on some levels.

    Movistar has good depth as well, but it seems to be more of a source of conflict than it is a strength for them at the moment. If they can get on the same page, and support one guy 100%, they could be dangerous as well.

    I still think a couple of these experienced GC guys that have had prior grand tour success will give Sky a run for their money. I think Dumoulin, Nibali, Uran, and Quintana are the strongest contenders here IMO.

    As for younguns and less provens, I like include Bardet, Alaphillipe, Roglic, Jungles, Yates, Dan Martin, and Zakarin.

    When it comes to sprinters, I am all in on Sagan and Gaviria, but I like Colbrelli, Mathews, Groenwegen, Demare, as well for this course.

    My dark horse surprise pic is Martinez for EF Drapac. I think he is on the verge of a breakout this year or next.

    Guys likely to disappoint are Mollema, Cavendish, Greipel, Kittel, TVG, GVA, and Porte. I could be wrong and for some of them, I hope I am, but it's not looking good as of right now.
    Maybe I wasn’t wrong after all:

    http://www.cyclingnews.com/news/aso-...our-de-france/
    Every climb has its end, for verily with difficulty there is relief...

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